In the Northern Angami II constituency, Neiphiu Rio defeated Seyievelie Sachu of the Congress in the Nagaland Elections of 2023.

Together, the two parties have won 35 of the 60 seats in the Nagaland Assembly.

With this victory, the septuagenarian leader has surpassed the record of veteran leader S C Jamir, who led the northeastern state three times.

Neiphiu Rio personally defeated the political novice Seyievelie Sachu of the Congress in the Northern Angami II constituency, thereby contributing to the demise of the once-dominant grand old party in the state.

Born to an Angami Naga family on 11 November 1950, he received his early education at Kohima’s Baptist English School before attending West Bengal’s Sainik School, Purulia. Later, he attended St. Joseph’s College in Darjeeling before returning to Kohima Arts College to complete his degree.

Rio, who was an active student leader in high school and college, entered politics at a very early age. In 1974, he began his nearly five-decade-long political career as president of the United Democratic Front’s youth wing in the Kohima district and later became its Nagaland president.

Rio has only lost one of the eight state elections he has contested, which occurred in 1987. He had contested the election as an independent candidate at the time.

His political career took a turn for the better after his second attempt in 1989, just two years after he joined Congress.

After that initial victory, he never looked back, and Rio went on to win the subsequent elections. He served his state in numerous capacities, including as Jamir’s interior minister until 2002.

However, he quit Congress that year and was instrumental in reviving the cock symbol of Naga People’s Front (NPF).

In 2003, Rio successfully deposed Jamir and became the chief minister for the first time. January 2008 saw the imposition of President’s Rule in the state, which resulted in his dismissal as chief minister.

Rio was invited to form the government as the leader of the NPF-led Democratic Alliance of Nagaland following his party’s victory in the subsequent election two months later.

Rio was re-elected as chief minister for a third term following the 2013 state election where NPF won a resounding majority.

He held the position until 2014, when he decided to resign and run for the national legislature. He used to explain to reporters that his desire to enter national politics stemmed from a “need” to be the voice of his people and press the Centre for a swift conclusion to the Naga peace talks.

On February 9, 2018, he resigned from the Lok Sabha and returned to state politics.

Rio joined the newly formed Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party in response to the escalating tensions within his then-home party, the NPF (NDPP).

He was selected as the leader of the NDPP and was able to break the alliance between the NPF and BJP at the time. Rio, a master strategist, then contested the 2018 state general elections with the saffron party via a pre-election agreement.

The alliance won 30 seats – 18 by the regional party and 12 by the saffron party – and formed the government with the support of 2 NPP MLAs, one from JD(U), and an Independent MLA, putting an end to the 15-year rule of NPF in the state.

H A Hongnao Konyak, vice-president of the Konyak Union (KU), attributed Rio’s sustained electoral success to his ability to forge alliances.

“He is aware that his party may not be able to complete the journey on their own. Consequently, he forms carefully considered alliances.

“Even this time, he maintained the alliance with the ruling party at the centre and forced them to cede the majority of seats to his NDPP,” Konyak told PTI.

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The NDPP-BJP pre-election alliance has again contested the Nagaland election on the same 40:20 seat-sharing basis as in 2018, with the expectation that Rio will lead the new government.

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Upcoming Elections 2023: The assembly elections of 9 states to be held this year are being called ‘semi-finals of power’. Actually, the 2024 Lok Sabha elections are to be held just a few months after the end of these assembly elections. It cannot be denied that the results of these assembly elections will have an impact on the Lok Sabha elections 2024 as well. This is the reason why all the political parties have already started preparations for the assembly elections of 9 states.

Assembly elections are to be held in Tripura, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Karnataka, Mizoram, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Telangana this year. The political board has started being laid in all the states and political equations are being put to the test. Everything from opposition unity to BJP’s election machinery is going to be tested in the assembly elections of these 9 states. Let us know which of the political parties are in so much water?

Regional parties can increase BJP’s trouble in Tripura

In 2023, the first elections are to be held in the northeastern states. One of these is the challenge before the BJP in Tripura to make a comeback as the ruling party. In the year 2018, BJP had won 35 seats in a historic performance. Last year BJP also had to change the Chief Minister. This time, apart from the Congress-Left alliance, the Trinamool Congress and a separate Fourth Front ‘Tipra Motha’ have increased the difficulties in front of the BJP. Tipra Motha, the newly formed tribal party of Pradyot Bikram Manikya Debbarman, scion of the Tripura royal family, has kept distance from both BJP and Congress for the time being. This can have an impact on 20 reserved seats in the state.

NPP will become a challenge for BJP-Congress in Meghalaya

The Congress could not get a majority in the 2018 assembly elections, but emerged as the single largest party. The BJP, which won only two assembly seats, formed the government in alliance with the National People’s Party (NPP). In this assembly elections, the NPP has announced to break away from the NDA and contest the elections alone. BJP does not have any special mass base in this state. At the same time, TMC has become the main opposition party in Meghalaya after Congress MLAs joined Trinamool Congress. In simple words, it will be a distant dream for the Congress to come to power in the state. At the same time, it will be a priority for BJP to save its political land.

Difficult for Congress to overcome NDPP-BJP alliance in Nagaland

Assembly elections are to be held in Nagaland in the first quarter of this year. A coalition government with the BJP is running in Nagaland under the leadership of Chief Minister Neiphiu Rio. NDPP President Neiphiu Rio has been the Chief Minister of Nagaland for 9 times. Before the assembly elections this time in Nagaland, the BJP has tied up with the Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party on 20 seats. In the year 2018, BJP had won 12 out of 20 seats. Simply put, it is difficult for the Congress to overcome this alliance.

There will be close fight between BJP and Congress in Karnataka

In Karnataka last year, many issues including hijab were in the limelight. The BJP is preparing to contest the assembly elections this time on the face of Karnataka CM Basavaraj Bommai. At the same time, the Congress has also geared up. However, the political tussle between DK Shivakumar and Siddaramaiah can create problems for the Congress. On the other hand, the regional party JDS, while talking about Kannada pride, is aspiring to see HD Kumaraswamy as the CM again in the role of kingmaker. On the other hand, Janardhan Reddy, one of the Reddy brothers who were close to the BJP, has brought strength to the BJP by forming a separate party. The alliance between Congress and JDS has not been decided yet, so it will be interesting to see the results of the Karnataka assembly elections.

It is not easy to compete with KCR in Telangana, BJP trying to establish roots

Telangana CM K Chandrasekhar Rao (KCR) is winning the election for two consecutive terms. KCR’s party, which has become BRS from TRS, has deep penetration in Telangana. At the same time, BJP has inducted many TRS leaders into the party, rapidly establishing its roots in the state. This strategy is similar to that adopted by the BJP before the assembly elections in West Bengal. At the same time, the challenge to the BRS for the Congress in Telangana seems impossible.

BJP-Congress embroiled in factionalism before elections in Rajasthan

Rajasthan assembly elections are to be held at the end of the year and before that factionalism in the ruling party Congress has openly come on the streets. Sachin Pilot has indirectly opened a front against CM Ashok Gehlot. It is necessary for the Congress to find a solution to the enmity between Gehlot and Pilot. At the same time, the news of tussle in the relations of former CM Vasundhara Raje with the BJP high command has also been in the headlines. Vasundhara Raje has not lagged behind in putting pressure on the BJP to get herself the CM project. Overall, the situation is not easy for both Congress and BJP, but the tussle between Pilot and Gehlot makes the path of Congress more difficult.

Challenge for BJP to regain its political ground in Chhattisgarh

In the year 2018, under the leadership of Chhattisgarh’s three-time CM Raman Singh, the BJP, which contested the assembly elections, was cleared. The Congress cashed in on the anti-incumbency wave against the BJP by winning 68 out of 90 seats. In Chhattisgarh, everyone’s eyes are on how the Congress high command will end the political feud between CM Bhupesh Baghel and TS Singhdev. At the same time, this time BJP is going to contest elections on the face of PM Narendra Modi. Getting back its political ground is going to be the biggest challenge for the BJP in the state.

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Direct fight between Congress and BJP in Madhya Pradesh

In the year 2018, the Congress ousted the BJP from power by winning 114 out of 230 assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh. Congress had made Kamal Nath the CM by taking the support of independent MLAs. However, after two years, the Congress government fell due to the rebellion of 22 MLAs close to Jyotiraditya Scindia and Shivraj Singh Chouhan regained power. The anti-incumbency wave against BJP in MP was visible in the last election itself. At the same time, the political tussle between Digvijay Singh and Kamal Nath can increase difficulties for the Congress.

MNF strong in Mizoram, BJP may vote for Congress

In Mizoram, there is a government of Mizo National Front (MNF) led by Zoramthanga. In the 2018 assembly elections, NDA’s ally MNF won 26 out of 40 seats. In that election, Congress was reduced to 5 seats. The MNF has been very strong in alliance with the BJP, but in October last year, BJP chief Vanlalmuaka had announced to contest 40 seats alone. However, there is still a lot of time for the elections, so there is a possibility that MNF and BJP may come together again. At the same time, it will be a challenge for the Congress to save its land here.

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The post Upcoming Elections 2023: Election battle of 9 states, know ‘who is in the water’ appeared first on Republic Aeon.

Nagaland Assembly Election 2023: In the last 8 years since Narendra Modi became the Prime Minister, the BJP has been continuously increasing its mass base in the 7 states of the Northeast known as Seven-Sisters. The result of this is that at present it has a stake in the government of 6 states here. Of these, the BJP government is running on its own in Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Tripura, Manipur. Whereas in Meghalaya and Nagaland, the coalition is involved in the government.

Ever since the formation of the BJP government at the Center in 2014, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been laying emphasis on strengthening the party’s ground in the northeastern states. Prime Minister Modi repeatedly says that he is trying to make the North Eastern states a ‘corridor of development, not a border of disputes’. Through this, he has been assuring the people of these states that the Northeast has been neglected in the past, but it will not happen now. Due to this intention and priority of Prime Minister Modi, it has become easy for BJP to gain a foothold in these states.

Neiphiu Rio has a chance to become CM for the 5th time.

An incident took place in Nagaland this year, due to which the power of the current Chief Minister Neiphiu Rio increased further. In April 2022, 21 MLAs of the main opposition party NPF joined Neiphiu Rio’s Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party (NDPP). Leader of the Opposition TR Zeliang was also involved in this. With this, the number of NDPP MLAs increased to 41 and the main opposition party NPF was left with only one MLA. NPF has already said that it will contest alone this time. However, it is now finding it very difficult for him to re-establish himself in the politics here. Neiphiu Rio will continue to get the support of BJP. With this, Neiphiu Rio has a chance to become the Chief Minister for the 5th time. The aim of the NDPP-BJP alliance is to remain in power. On the other hand, Congress will try to get back its lost ground.

In view of the forthcoming General Election to Nagaland Legislative Assembly, 2023 a four-day Certification Programme for Returning Officers (ROs) & Assistant Returning Officers (AROs) of Nagaland began at the @ATI_NGL on 13th December 2022. @dipr_nagaland pic.twitter.com/giMxciF1Vp

— MyGov Nagaland (@MyGovNagaland) December 13, 2022

BJP in the role of younger brother in Nagaland

Next year, once again, BJP will have to face the challenges of the opposition parties to retain power in the 3 states of the Northeast. In Nagaland, BJP has gradually ensured its share in power. By winning 12 seats in the last election, BJP reached such a position that without it no party could form the government. This time also BJP will contest the elections in alliance with Neiphiu Rio’s NDPP. Last year such news was coming that BJP wants to contest elections on its own, but at present BJP is not finding it right to remain in power. That’s why she does not want to leave the side of NDPP. In July this year itself, both the parties had issued a joint statement that BJP would contest on 20 seats and NDPP on 40 seats.

The road to 2023 is difficult for the Congress

There was a time when Congress used to speak in the politics of Nagaland. However, this time there is no chance for the Congress in the elections here. Congress does not have a single MLA. In the last five years, many of its leaders have joined the ruling party. The Congress does not have any leader left with a large mass base at the grassroots level. Despite this, State Congress President K Theri believes that the people of Nagaland are fed up with Neiphiu Rio and people will trust Congress only to solve the Naga problem. The Congress has formed a PAC a few days ago under the leadership of Pradesh Congress Committee President K. Theri. In this, the old veteran leader and 5-time Chief Minister of Nagaland, SC Jamir has also been included.

TMC is also looking for opportunity in Nagaland

Mamta Banerjee’s party TMC is also eyeing to increase its penetration in Nagaland. This time she will also contest the election. Mamta Banerjee believes that her party can strengthen its roots in Nagaland as an alternative to NPF and Congress. TMC is also expanding its ambit among the Naga groups demanding a separate state.

Big parties can be harmed by RPP

This time a new party Rising People’s Party (RPP) is entering the electoral fray of Nagaland. This party came into existence in 2021. The RPP was born in Nagaland with the aim of opposing the extortion of people by extremist and extremist groups. These include extremist groups like the National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN). RPP founder and president Joel Naga has demanded that elections should not be held until the Naga problem is resolved. They want that President’s rule should be imposed in the state for the time being.

 

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The issue related to the demand for Greater Nagaland or Nagalim

The Naga community and the Naga organizations there have been demanding for a long time the creation of a Greater Nagaland or Nagalim state in the Naga-dominated areas. The concept of Greater Nagaland also includes some areas of Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Manipur. The Naga groups want a separate constitution and a separate flag for this separate state. In 1980, the National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN) started an armed movement demanding separation. Later due to differences, it got divided into two factions NSCN (IM) and NSCN (Khaplang). The NSCN (IM) faction also signed a ceasefire agreement with the central government in 1997. The Khaplang faction also agreed to this in 2000, but later retracted. On August 3, 2015, in the presence of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, an agreement was signed between the NSCN-IM and the Central Government for a permanent solution to the Naga issue. This agreement was possible after 80 rounds of talks that lasted for 18 years. This was a framework agreement under which a way to find a permanent solution to the Naga issue was to be found in the future. Although the 1997 agreement is now 25 years old and the 2015 agreement is more than 7 years old. Still a permanent solution has not been found. This will be a big issue in this election. The NSCN-IM is still not ready to back down from the demand for a separate flag and constitution. This demand is the biggest obstacle in the peace process.

The issue of Frontier Nagaland will also remain a shadow

The demand for a separate state by the name of Frontier Nagaland will also be a big issue in this election. The Eastern Nagaland People’s Organization (ENPO), representing 7 Naga groups in the eastern part, has already said that it will boycott the elections if the Center does not create Frontier Nagaland. ENPO is demanding a plebiscite in the districts of eastern Nagaland for this. The Eastern Nagaland People’s Organization has a large mass base in six of the total 16 districts, Kiphire, Longleng, Mon, Noklak, Shamtor and Tuensang. The Chang, Khiamniungan, Konyak, Phom, Sangtam, Tikhir and Yimkhiung groups of people live in these districts. 20 out of 60 seats in the state come in these six districts. Of these, 15 seats are currently with the NDPP. At the same time BJP has 4 and one seat is with independents. Chief Minister Neiphiu Rio has already said that it is not wrong to demand a separate state on behalf of the people of the eastern part of the state. Chief Minister Neiphiu Rio is urging all Naga parties and groups to come together and hold talks on this issue to avoid the damage caused by the demand for a separate state.

NDPP-BJP won the battle in 2018

In 2018, the main contest in Nagaland was between the Naga People’s Front (NPF) and the NDPP-BJP alliance. Nephew of NDPP was elected unopposed from Rio Northern-II Angami seat in this assembly election. No one had nominated against him. Because of this, in 2018, votes were cast on 59 out of 60 seats in Nagaland.

NDPP got benefit from BJP

In the 2018 elections, the Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party (NDPP) won 18 seats and its ally BJP won 12 seats. NDPP got 25.3% and BJP got 15.31% votes. The Naga People’s Front (NPF) became the single largest party by winning 26 seats. Its share in the vote share was 38.78%, but the NDPP-BJP alliance easily managed to secure a majority. Last time the Congress got wiped out from here. He did not get a single seat. Despite contesting on 18 seats, it got only two per cent votes. National People’s Party (NPEP) got two seats and JDU got one seat. One seat went to the independent’s account.

BJP vote share increased in 2018

There was another reason due to which the base of BJP increased in the last election. Before this election, in January 2018, Congress leader and former Chief Minister KL Chishi had joined BJP along with 12 other leaders. KL Chishi was considered a strong leader there. Because of this, BJP also benefited in the 2018 elections. However, later he again joined the Congress in March 2019. Before this election, BJP had ended the alliance with the ruling party Naga People’s Front. BJP contested the elections in alliance with the newly formed party NDPP.

Neiphiu Rio’s coin runs in Nagaland

The current Chief Minister Neiphiu Rio has been the biggest face of Nagaland politics for the last 20 years. In 2018, he became the Chief Minister of Nagaland for the fourth time. Before forming the NDPP, Neiphiu Rio was the tallest leader of the NPF. Prior to joining the NPF in 2002, Neiphiu Rio was considered a senior leader of the Congress. The Nagaland People’s Council (NPC) was renamed NPF in October 2002. It was the charisma of Neiphiu Rio that the Congress went out of power in Nagaland in the 2003 assembly elections. Earlier, the Congress was in power here for ten consecutive years. In 2003, Neiphiu Rio became the Chief Minister of Nagaland for the first time. 2017

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