Akash Jha
The Sensex and Nifty, two major stock market indices, are forecasted to open slightly higher on August 9 due to bullish patterns in the GIFT Nifty, which imply a 24 point gain for the wide index.
The BSE Sensex dropped 106 points to end the session at 65,846 points, and the Nifty50 fell 26 points to end the session at 19,570 points as it traded around its 200-day moving average of 19,591 points while attempting to maintain its recent upward trend.
Support for the Nifty appears at 19,541, followed by 19,517 and 19,478 on the pivot point calculator. Upwards, major resistance may be found at 19,618, followed by 19,642 and 19,681.
Listen in on Moneypoise to hear the latest on the day’s currency and stock market movements. We have compiled a collection of major stories from various media outlets that could have an effect on the markets in India and elsewhere.
GIFT Nifty
After Nifty ended August 8 down 26 points at 19,570, the GIFT Nifty showed a flat to slightly positive start for the broader market with a gain of 24 points. The futures price of the GIFT Nifty was 19,577.
US Markets
US stock futures were relatively unchanged Tuesday night, even after a selloff in the main averages. Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 27 points, or 0.08 percent. The futures for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 both fell by 0.06 percent.
Penn Entertainment gained 12% in after-hours trading after the casino announced it would establish an online sportsbook with ESPN this autumn. The service will be branded ESPN Bet. Tuesday’s trading day was a loss for the major indices, and investors are reeling. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day down 158.64 points (or 0.45%). That’s still an improvement over the Dow’s session lows, when it was down around 465 points.
The S&P 500 was down 0.42 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.79 percent at the same time. Tuesday’s selloff follows Tuesday’s Moody’s downgrading of numerous regional banks, which lowered investor morale. Despite the remarkable advance in equities this year, several market participants were worried that the signal could herald more turmoil for markets in the future.
European Markets
On Tuesday, European markets fell as investors responded to Italy’s unexpected banking tax proposal and prepared for important inflation data anticipated later this week.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed down 0.2%, with banking registering the largest percentage loss (-2.7%) among the broader sector declines (-0.2%). Contrary to the market, healthcare shares rose by 3.2%. The banking sector in Italy was struck hard by the government’s unexpected announcement of a windfall tax of 40% on banking earnings. A successful drug trial result from Danish pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk sparked the optimistic session in health care.
As investors took profits near the end of earnings season and risk sentiment came to focus, the European blue-chip index ended Monday’s session up 0.1 percent, seemingly entering suspended animation following last week’s global drop.
On Wednesday, China is expected to disclose its consumer price index, and on Thursday, the United States will do the same. Analysts predict that China’s CPI will show disinflation of 0.5 percent year over year, which will reduce global price pressures but may indicate that additional fiscal stimulus is needed from Beijing. The FTSE ended the day down 0.36 percent at 7,527 points, while the DAX finished down 1.10 percent at 15,774 points.
Asian Markets
The consumer price index is expected to enter deflationary territory for the first time since February 2021, and investors in the Asia-Pacific region were cautious ahead of China’s inflation numbers for July.
Reuters’ survey of economists forecasts a 0.4% annual drop in China’s inflation rate. There will also be a drop of 4.1% in the country’s producer price index, which gauges the change in selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. The Hang Seng index futures were trading at 19,084, indicating a higher opening for the HSI than its previous closing value of 19,184.17.
The Nikkei 225 index in Japan dropped 0.24 percent and the Topix index dropped 0.3 percent in early morning trading. South Korea, on the other hand, saw gains of 0.88 percent on the Kospi and 1 percent on the Kosdaq. The S&P/ASX 200 in Australia was trading near its flat line.
Moody’s reduced the credit rating of several regional banks, citing deposit risk, a probable recession, and faltering commercial real estate portfolios, which caused a selloff across all three main US indexes overnight. There was a decrease of 0.45% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a drop of 0.425% for the S&P 500, and a decrease of 0.799% for the Nasdaq Composite.
At Rs 1.85 lakh crore, mutual funds see highest quarterly inflows in 4 years in April-June
The first three months of the fiscal year 2024 got off to a good start, with open-ended mutual funds receiving net inflows of Rs 1,84,789 crore—the highest in four years, with the vast majority of these funds being invested in fixed income.
According to the most recent report from Morningstar India, net inflows into open-ended funds began the June quarter on a good note, totaling Rs 1,23,613 crore in April before falling to Rs 59,879 crore in May and a disappointing Rs 1,295 crore in June. Meanwhile, the industry’s AUM reached Rs 44.13 lakh crore by the end of June, an increase of 13% over the previous quarter.
Coal India Q1 results: Net profit declines 10% to Rs 7,941 crore, beats estimate
Coal India Limited (CIL), a state-owned company, announced a consolidated net profit of Rs 7,941.4 crore for the quarter ended June on August 8, down 10% from the same period last year.
However, Q1FY24 net profit was more than expected. The consensus expectation among analysts at the three major brokerage houses was for a net profit of Rs 6,125 crore. The largest coal miner in the world reported earnings of Rs 35,943.21 crore, an increase of 2.5% from the previous quarter’s earnings of Rs 35,092.17 crore.
Revenue for the company rose from Rs 36,086.68 crore in Q1FY23 to Rs 37,521.03 crore in Q1FY24, an increase of 3.9%. CIL’s overall expenses for the first quarter grew by 11.5% year-over-year, from Rs 23,985.31 crore to Rs 26,745.68 crore.
EIH Q1 Results: PAT up 61% YoY at Rs 106 cr, consolidated revenue stands at Rs 522 cr
The Oberoi Group’s main company, the hospitality chain EIH Limited, reported a 26.7 percent YoY increase in consolidated revenue to Rs 522.6 crore for the June quarter of the financial year 2024. In the first quarter of FY24, the hotel chain reported a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 106 crore, an increase of 61% year over year.
“We are ecstatic with the exceptional financial success in Q1 FY24. Vikram Oberoi, CEO and MD, EIH, claimed that the rapid increase in sales and profits was a direct result of the hard work of his company’s employees and the continued confidence of the hotel’s regular visitors. In terms of EBITDA (profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation), the company reported Rs 180 crore, a year-over-year increase of 53.1%.
Oil Prices
On Tuesday, oil prices dipped after fresh data revealed a steeper-than-anticipated drop in crude imports and exports from the world’s largest oil importer in July.
In the futures market, a barrel of Brent crude was selling for $84.93, down 48 cents, or 0.41 percent. The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude in the United States fell by 50 cents, or 0.62%, to $81.43. Earlier in the session, the price of both contracts dropped by $2. China’s daily oil imports in July were the lowest they’ve been since January, albeit they were still up 17% from the same time a year ago.
In July, China’s imports fell 12.4%, which was far more than the predicted reduction of 5%. In contrast to the predicted drop of 12.5%, exports decreased by 14.5%. Fuel usage in India dropped to a 10-month low in July, official statistics indicated on Tuesday, as monsoon rains limited people’s ability to get around. When it comes to oil consumption and imports, India ranks third. Some analysts were optimistic about China’s fuel demand for the period of August to early October despite the dismal numbers.
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Dollar Index
Futures contracts for the Dollar index rose 0.52 percent to 102.57, while the value of one dollar stayed close to Rs 82.88.
Gold Prices
On Tuesday, gold touched a four-week low as the dollar rose in response to weaker-than-expected Chinese trade data, and as investors remained wary ahead of this week’s U.S. inflation figures. Gold hit its lowest point since July 11 at $1,925.69 per ounce, down 0.55 percent. US gold futures dropped 0.5% to $1,960.10.
“A risk-averse mood has set in as a result of China’s dismal trade figures. “The dollar has been people’s safe haven of choice today, and that’s been putting pressure on gold,” said Russell Shor, a market specialist at FXCM.
FIIs and DIIs
On August 8, provisional data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) showed that foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth Rs 711.34 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DII) acquired shares worth Rs 537.31 crore.
